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Climateprediction.net: Distributed computing for a global climate (NERC Pilot)

ClimatePrediction.net

http://www.climateprediction.net/

The climateprediction.net project aims to perform the world’s first probabilistic forecast of anthropogenic climate change, allowing for uncertainty in both forcing and response by exploring parameter-space in a coupled AOGCM (the UM). This will be achieved by distributing versions of the model to businesses and the general public and inviting them to perform a pre-packaged 100-year simulation 1950-2050. Individual forecasts will be weighted by the quality of fit to observations (1950-2000), yielding a probabilistic forecast independent of expert judgement. Initial runs with a slab (thermodynamic ocean) version will help prioritise parameter perturbations. This proposal focuses on the costs of interaction with the general public and the activities necessary to ensure the widespread, long-term participation required to achieve the experiment’s objectives. The project will demonstrate the potential of the distributed approach for heavy-duty Monte Carlo simulation projects as well as providing a challenging test-bed for tera-scale, GRID-based distributed data archival and analysis.

Maturity: Initial Research
Region: UK
Type: Pilot
Grant Value:
Start Date: Not specified
End Date: Not specified
Project Status: funded
Funding Agency: NERC


Project Members
PI
Dr Myles Allen


Collaborating Organisations
STFC - RAL
The Open University
University of Oxford


Component(s) Project Develops
This project is not associated with any components at present.


Application Area(s) associated with Project
Environment

 

Last Updated: 22 Jun 12 11:02
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