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Climateprediction.net: Distributed computing for a global climate (NERC Pilot)



The climateprediction.net project aims to perform the world’s first probabilistic forecast of anthropogenic climate change, allowing for uncertainty in both forcing and response by exploring parameter-space in a coupled AOGCM (the UM). This will be achieved by distributing versions of the model to businesses and the general public and inviting them to perform a pre-packaged 100-year simulation 1950-2050. Individual forecasts will be weighted by the quality of fit to observations (1950-2000), yielding a probabilistic forecast independent of expert judgement. Initial runs with a slab (thermodynamic ocean) version will help prioritise parameter perturbations. This proposal focuses on the costs of interaction with the general public and the activities necessary to ensure the widespread, long-term participation required to achieve the experiment’s objectives. The project will demonstrate the potential of the distributed approach for heavy-duty Monte Carlo simulation projects as well as providing a challenging test-bed for tera-scale, GRID-based distributed data archival and analysis.

Maturity: Initial Research
Region: UK
Type: Pilot
Grant Value:
Start Date: Not specified
End Date: Not specified
Project Status: funded
Funding Agency: NERC

Project Members
Dr Myles Allen

Collaborating Organisations
The Open University
University of Oxford

Component(s) Project Develops
This project is not associated with any components at present.

Application Area(s) associated with Project


Last Updated: 22 Jun 12 11:02
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